Guardians vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Guardians vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians / Orioles TV Channel: TBS | Max | MAS2 | GDTV

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 0-0 ATS.

Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 3.60 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-3, 8.78 ERA

Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -170O 8.5 +105+125
Orioles -1.5 +140U 8.5 -125-150

Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 86 of their last 156 games (+4.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 123 games (+17.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 149 games (+13.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 149 games (+6.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Gary Sanchez (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Steven Kwan (CLE) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Ramon Urias (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Gary Sanchez (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Ramon Laureano (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton (BAL) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
Logan Allen (CLE) 3.5 -118 3.5 -110

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (8/77) against Logan Allen this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Logan Allen allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (90 Total Bases / 154 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen allowed an OPS of .951 (359 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Logan Allen with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (481/1,348) when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (296 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (494/905) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Guardians are 78-3 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Guardians are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Guardians are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Orioles are 71-7 (.910) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Orioles are just 0-8 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Orioles are 71-27 (.724) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Orioles are just 0-6 (.000) after a win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.

Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .374 (104 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .659.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .374 (104 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .659.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .171 against LHP this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.