- The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Guardians vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Thursday, April 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Guardians are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 6-11 ATS.
Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-1, 4.50 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 1-1, 3.86 ERA
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+23.50 Units / 470% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.50 Units / 225% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 away games (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 168 games (+7.06 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 171 games (+2.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 164 games (+15.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+6.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 164 games (+3.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -9.4% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -2.19% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -3.93% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 6-11 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -29.73% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -22.9% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 25.34% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -31.83% ROI
Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (11/21) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (166/471) against Tanner Bibee in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since the 2023 season is 384.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 398.8
Right-handed batters are hitting just .199 (65-for-327) against Tanner Bibee since last season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 14% (9/62) against Tomoyuki Sugano on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (2/36) against Tomoyuki Sugano over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed a slugging percentage of .810 (17 Total Bases / 21 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .416 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 12% (5/42) against Tomoyuki Sugano this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 79-3 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians are just 6-67 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are 71-27 (.724) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .025.
The Orioles are 147-22 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,910 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .546 (151 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .670.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
