- The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
- Guardians vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Pirates TV Channel: GDTV | SNPT
The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the Guardians are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 7-15 ATS.
Guardians vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 1-1, 2.30 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-2, 4.31 ERA
Guardians vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Guardians vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.70 Units / 342% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 86 away games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 168 games (+7.01 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 164 games (+4.65 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 164 games (+3.70 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 10-10 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -6.32% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 10.69% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -4.24% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 7-15 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -37.35% ROI).
- 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -28.84% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -17.49% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 8.92% ROI
Pirates vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Canario (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of .387 (31 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (14/111) against Logan Allen this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (14/111) against Logan Allen this month (3 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of .884 (499 PA’s) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .708 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Guardians are 81-3 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Pirates are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .066 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .680 (9,285 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .505 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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