- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Guardians vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Guardians / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Guardians are 25-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-21 ATS.
Guardians vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brent Suter 1-0, 2.05 ERA
Guardians vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -118 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | U 10 -102 | +105 |
Guardians vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Strikeouts Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.45 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Guardians Best Bets Today:
Reds Best Bets Today:
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 22-22 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -5.51% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 12.28% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -1.04% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.05% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 25-21 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -2.55% ROI).
- 22-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -8.65% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -22.81% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 13.82% ROI
Reds vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter (CIN) | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi had an ERA of 6.66 (77.0 IP)in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .345 (29 GB hits out of 84 GBs) against Slade Cecconi in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Slade Cecconi allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (165 Total Bases / 313 ABs) in the 2024 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — third Percentile.
Slade Cecconi struck out just 16% (26/164) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.6 — first Percentile.
Brent Suter had an average fastball velocity of just 86.4 MPH in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 — first Percentile.
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.5 MPH since last season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 94.8 — second Percentile.
Brent Suter has picked-off 5 runners while trailing since the 2023 season — most among qualified RPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Guardians are 92-3 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Guardians are 98-2 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 13-2 (.867) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Reds are just 6-80 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Reds are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .293 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .224 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Reds hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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