- The Royals are -130 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: GDTV | FDKC
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO, USA.
This preseason, the Guardians were 9-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals were 13-7 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 84% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cole Ragans has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 86% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+8.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 164 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last season, the Guardians were 10-11 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -14.03% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.18 Units / -13.1% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 4.56% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last season, the Royals were 13-7 against the Run Line (+5.52 Units / 20.37% ROI).
- 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 46.91% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 9.28% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.08 Units / -17.72% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2024 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Guardians were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2024 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are just 45-48 (.484) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2024 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2024 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals batted just .214 with two outs in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Royals batted just .225 on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals hitters struck out just 298 times in 1,502 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers last season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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