- The Guardians are -102 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: GDTV | FDKC
The Cleveland Guardians (-102) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-118) on Sunday, March 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 0-2 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -102 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -118 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 166 games (+7.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 164 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 57.14% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 21.95% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.35% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -25.86% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.35% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (166/471) against Tanner Bibee in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (166/471) against Tanner Bibee since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .241 (315 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 94th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .579 (316 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 84th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/454) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 47% of the time (357/760) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 45-48 (.484) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 17% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have 2 strikeouts in 3 PA’s (67%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have chased 55% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters struck out 2 times in 3 PA’s (67%) against LHP over the last 14 days of the regular season (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% against Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% against Royals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% against Royals pitchers this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 27% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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