- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: FOX
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 28-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-24 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 2-5, 4.63 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Sean Guenther 0-1, 5.07 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -130 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Ortiz has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.25 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+9.90 Units / 247% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.60 Units / 73% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.88 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 26-24 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 28-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 10.87% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -8.92% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.62% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 28-24 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.1% ROI).
- 33-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 15.51% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -7.71% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a in-zone of 51% (430/844) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz threw fastballs down 49% of the time (388/787) in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz walked 12 of 80 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Guenther has a first-pitch in-zone of 76% (25/33) this month (7 games) — 3rd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 55% — 97th Percentile.
Sean Guenther has a in-zone of 61% (58/95) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.
Sean Guenther has a strikeout rate of just 22% (4 SO in 18 PAs) with two-strikes this month (7 games) — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Sean Guenther has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (2 Total Bases / 15 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (7 games) — 6th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .383 — 93rd Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 59-6 (.908) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .329 in righty-righty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Guardians are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .205 when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers hitters slugged just .382 in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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