- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | Max | YES | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (+165) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 32-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-30 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-5, 3.92 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 7-3, 2.59 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +165 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -200 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+12.50 Units / 139% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+22.00 Units / 220% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.72 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 30-28 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 9.69% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -2.71% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 28-30 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -2.34% ROI).
- 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 5.62% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -13.54% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.67 Units / 5.72% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (52/250) against Tanner Bibee this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (44/168) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (245/661) against Tanner Bibee since last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .408 (49-for-120) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .289 this season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .435 last season — ninth worst among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (16-for-98) against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .164 (42-for-256) against Carlos Rodon this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .267 vs right-handed batters this season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .454 vs right-handed batters last season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– 10th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 27-5 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 96-3 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .851 (630 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .232 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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