- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: Amazon | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 32-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-31 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 2-6, 4.40 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 2-2, 3.95 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -190 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+11.50 Units / 115% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 86% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games at home (+8.15 Units / 163% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games (+3.14 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.72 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-28 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 8.09% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.14% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 28-31 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -3.79% ROI).
- 37-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 6.56% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -14.88% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.67 Units / 7.15% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (34/86) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 14% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 15% of left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (43/243) against Clarke Schmidt in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 384.0 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Hitters have swung at 42% of Clarke Schmidt’s non-fastballs (940/2,253) since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 96-3 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 27-6 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Guardians are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 68-42 (.618) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,910 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .848 (636 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Yankees hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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