- The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mariners vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Cardinals TV Channel: RTNW | BSMW | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mariners are 71-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 71-69 ATS.
Mariners vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 10-8, 3.32 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-8, 3.43 ERA
Mariners vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -110 |
Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+26.30 Units / 105% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+33.50 Units / 152% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 56 away games (+17.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 away games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 80% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 60-81 against the Run Line (-25.7 Units / -14.57% ROI).
- 71-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -9.4% ROI
- 63-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -9.9% ROI
- 72-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.84% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 71-69 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -2.68% ROI).
- 71-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -4.49% ROI
- 67-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -5.36% ROI
- 68-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -3.92% ROI
Cardinals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (67/235) against Bryce Miller this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (14-for-83) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (119-for-571) against Bryce Miller this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 87th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (33/191) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (411/788) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (453/788) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/96) against Erick Fedde on breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (468/935) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mariners are 45-4 (.918) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Mariners are 110-17 (.866) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mariners are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Mariners are 10-9 (.526) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .432.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are 20-13 (.606) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Cardinals are 37-18 (.673) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 19-14 (.576) after a road loss this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .196 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .210 with two outs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (3,120 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .655 (1,560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,120 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .255 (1,252 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 742 of 11,054 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 66 of 1,252 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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