Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 8

min read
St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Mariners vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mariners / Cardinals TV Channel: RTNW | BSMW

The Seattle Mariners (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Mariners are 72-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-70 ATS.

Mariners vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 11-12, 3.61 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-10, 5.30 ERA

Mariners vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +125O 7.5 -110-135
Cardinals +1.5 -155U 7.5 -110+115

Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 27 games (+24.30 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+31.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 away games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 away games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 60 of their last 110 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 72 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 61-82 against the Run Line (-25.15 Units / -14.1% ROI).

  • 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -9.45% ROI
  • 63-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -10.52% ROI
  • 73-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.45% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-70 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -3.02% ROI).

  • 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -4.35% ROI
  • 67-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -6.05% ROI
  • 69-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -3.22% ROI

Cardinals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Luke Raley (SEA) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Cardinals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Cardinals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas (STL) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Luis Castillo (Sea) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .419 (152 Total Bases / 363 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .195 (66-for-338) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .210 (109-for-520) against Luis Castillo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 84th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 11 of 261 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (164 Total Bases / 303 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (98/643) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (92-for-303) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (63/458) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mariners are 171-27 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Mariners are 45-4 (.918) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Mariners are 79-45 (.637) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners are 9-51 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Cardinals are 41-27 (.603) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 57-63 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Cardinals are 37-18 (.673) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Mariners are batting just .195 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (3,120 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Cardinals are just 5-24 (.172) against the run line (-57.2% ROI) after a win as favorites this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .655 (1,560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .253 (1,269 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.

Mariners pitchers have walked 1,193 of 17,101 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 746 of 11,115 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Mariners vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.