- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Mariners vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 33-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 31-36 ATS.
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 5-3, 3.07 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 1-3, 6.67 ERA
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -180 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+14.50 Units / 242% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.25 Units / 84% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 29-37 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -10.73% ROI).
- 33-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
- 35-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 5.8% ROI
- 28-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.67 Units / -14.63% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 31-36 against the Run Line (-9.56 Units / -11.21% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -3.23% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.41% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alek Thomas (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (317/525) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown 64% of his pitches in the strike zone (116/182) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .072 (6-for-83) against Bryan Woo’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Eduardo Rodriguez’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (35 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (204/745) against Eduardo Rodriguez since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of .956 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .705 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mariners are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 17-15 (.531) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Mariners were 72-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are just 20-31 (.392) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Diamondbacks are 23-143 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks are just 176-14 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 159-42 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,172 times in 4,293 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .223 at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,380 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .337 (6,284 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .265 (2,039 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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