- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Mariners vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Marlins TV Channel: RTNW | BSFL
The Seattle Mariners (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Mariners are 45-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 32-44 ATS.
Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 6-5, 3.48 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Kyle Tyler 0-0, 4.50 ERA
Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -110 | -175 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -110 | +145 |
Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-41 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -6.49% ROI).
- 45-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 31-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.7 Units / -20.81% ROI
- 45-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 12.21% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 32-44 against the Run Line (-26.46 Units / -25.4% ROI).
- 26-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -25.09% ROI
- 40-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 2.45% ROI
- 35-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -10.17% ROI
Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (42/139) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .207 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .151 (8 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (99/326) against Bryce Miller since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are 100-16 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Mariners are 60-10 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mariners are 28-21 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 114-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are just 2-9 (.182) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Marlins are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Marlins are just 22-16 (.579) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Marlins are just 8-8 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .752.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Mariners hitters have 792 strikeouts in 2,889 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .198 (1,393 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .547 (875 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 53% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.48 (355.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,054 of 14,803 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 132 of 2,156 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (392.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Marlins vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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