Mariners vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 26

min read
San Diego Padres' Jake Cronenworth during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Wednesday, June 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2024, 11:00 AM

The Seattle Mariners (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 7-10 ATS.

Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Mariners+115
Padres -135

Mariners vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.80 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+2.55 Units / 127% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 10-7 against the Run Line (+1.18 Units / 11.87% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / -7.21% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / 28.69% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -37.49% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 7-10 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -18.6% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / 1.38% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -30.9% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 23.39% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King allowed an OPS of just .542 (182 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .688 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (23/113) against Michael King on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.

Michael King walked 6 of 102 batters (6%) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 7th best among in AL; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Michael King allowed an OPS of just .542 (182 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 9th best among in AL; League Avg: .687 — 91st Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Mariners are 31-30 (.508) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Mariners are 138-6 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mariners pitchers had a strike rate of 67% in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1441.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Padres vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
  • Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
  • Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
  • Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out

Bet now on Mariners vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.