- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: KDAF | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 18-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 16-15 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 3-1, 3.10 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 2-0, 2.03 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 8 +100 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -120 | +100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+18.30 Units / 366% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leonardo Rivas has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+11.20 Units / 187% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 17-13 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 12.39% ROI).
- 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 17-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 14.48% ROI
- 11-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -24.06% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-15 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -4.3% ROI).
- 16-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.85% ROI
- 9-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -45.52% ROI
- 23-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 36.45% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (8/47) against Bryan Woo this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (14-for-45) against Bryan Woo when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .218 — sixth Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (162/217) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo allowed an OBP of just .207 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has allowed a slugging percentage of just .191 (9 Total Bases / 47 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a Jack Leiter slider was September 26th, 2024. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his slider. — Jorge Lopez has the longest active streak at 29.
Jack Leiter has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — Jhoan Duran has the longest active streak at 45.2.
Jack Leiter has allowed an OPS of just .441 (52 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .708 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Mariners are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Mariners are 87-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 135-20 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 11-67 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Rangers are just 20-28 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 10-131 (.071) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Rangers are just 12-50 (.194) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .366 (519 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 51% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .210 (586 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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