- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 19-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 16-16 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 2-1, 3.86 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -118 | -130 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -102 | +110 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+17.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+17.00 Units / 212% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+16.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 18-13 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 15.37% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 16.96% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -26.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-16 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -7.45% ROI).
- 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -5.31% ROI
- 10-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -41.32% ROI
- 23-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.95 Units / 32.38% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Williamson (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Patrick Corbin (TEX) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (206/278) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo walked 11 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (206/278) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .413 (88 Total Bases / 213 ABs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — eighth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .235 (87-for-371) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .377 (140 Total Bases / 371 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .315 (198-for-628) against Patrick Corbin since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .235 (78-for-332) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Mariners are 136-20 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 71-7 (.910) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 11-68 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Rangers are just 20-28 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .120 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,153 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (846 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .258 (1,723 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
