- The Rangers are -175 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Sunday, May 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 20-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 17-16 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 1-0, 3.60 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 1-1, 2.76 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+25.00 Units / 278% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+17.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 18-14 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 12.52% ROI).
- 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 10.98% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 13.29% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -22.85% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 17-16 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -5.09% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 10-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -43.07% ROI
- 24-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 34.08% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Evans has limited playing time.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of just .067 (1 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .551 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of .710 (22 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (6/41) against Jacob deGrom against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (79/249) against Jacob deGrom this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Mariners are 165-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 8-6 (.571) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Mariners were 49-32 (.605) at home in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 14-120 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (876 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rangers are batting just .114 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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