- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-3, 2.87 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 5-14, 3.88 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 +100 | -130 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -120 | +110 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+30.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Over in his last 6 games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+19.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+14.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andrew Heaney has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 60 away games (+18.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 away games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.99 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 42 games (+17.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (1,117/1,558) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (2,180/3,006) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 76% of the time (606/799) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .262 (83 Total Bases / 317 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .178 (42-for-236) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,511/2,779) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (337/807) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (565/1,318) against Andrew Heaney since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 61-7 (.897) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Mariners are 143-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Mariners are 212-4 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rangers are just 8-19 (.296) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Rangers are just 11-107 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 19-26 (.422) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .198 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .218 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners hitters have 1,143 strikeouts in 4,160 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .304 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Rangers hitters have put just 27% of their swings in play against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rangers hitters have 42 strikeouts in 122 PA’s (34%) against LHP this month (15 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rangers are batting just .147 against LHP this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 355 of 5,553 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,223 of 17,545 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (711.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (637.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Rangers pitchers have walked 85 of 1,368 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Rangers have allowed 5.39 runs per game (404/75) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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