- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Mariners vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FS1 | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Mariners are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-6 ATS.
Mariners vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 0-2, 4.60 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-2, 6.07 ERA
Mariners vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -125 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | +105 |
Mariners vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.70 Units / 78% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.85 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+16.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+16.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 away games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 95 of their last 163 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 163 games (+11.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 163 games (+11.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 73% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 8-9 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.53% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -14% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.6% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-6 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 12.74% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 5.67% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -14.48% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 7.73% ROI
Reds vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Reds vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ben Williamson (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Reds vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .233 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OPS of just .512 (324 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (40/222) against Bryce Miller in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .231 (324 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Nick Martinez in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.8 MPH since the 2023 season (776 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (4/21) against Nick Martinez this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners were 33-7 (.825) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Mariners are 126-20 (.863) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .212 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .089 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are batting just .137 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .244 (168 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .253 (1,596 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mariners vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
