- The Mariners are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: RTNW | CHSN
The Seattle Mariners (-210) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+170) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 26-19 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 24-23 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 2-4, 3.63 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -130 | O 8 -105 | -210 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +105 | U 8 -115 | +170 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+27.10 Units / 271% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+15.95 Units / 76% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.15 Units / 203% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 away games (+11.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.94 Units / 70% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 24-21 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 5.79% ROI).
- 26-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 6.02% ROI
- 25-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 18-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.82 Units / -19.71% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 24-23 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -2.19% ROI).
- 14-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.86 Units / -23.06% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -8.57% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Palacios (CWS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leody Taveras (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo allowed a slugging percentage of .415 (154 Total Bases / 371 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% (80/209) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo walked 11 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 64% of the time (2,990/4,644) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .326 (28-for-86) against Davis Martin’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — first Percentile.
Davis Martin has allowed a slugging percentage of .547 (47 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .346 — first Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 15% (12 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Davis Martin has allowed a slugging percentage of .463 (25 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 90-16 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Mariners are 50-6 (.893) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 53-129 (.291) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (7,226 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .643 (10,194 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .263 (1,851 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,788 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
More MLB Reading:
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