- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: RTNW | CHSN
The Seattle Mariners (-175) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 27-19 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 24-24 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 2-1, 2.53 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 0-2, 6.01 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | +145 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+20.70 Units / 207% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.15 Units / 159% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 60% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+12.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games at home (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-21 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 7.4% ROI).
- 27-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 7.47% ROI
- 25-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 7.95% ROI
- 19-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.82 Units / -17.32% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 24-24 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -4.03% ROI).
- 14-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.86 Units / -24.66% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.81% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rowdy Tellez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Leody Taveras (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ben Williamson (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Rowdy Tellez (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (23/153) against Logan Evans this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (21/57) against Logan Evans this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (21/57) against Logan Evans this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .367 (11-for-30) against Logan Evans this month (3 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .462 (123 Total Bases / 266 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (93 Total Bases / 205 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 14% (7 SO in 51 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .395 (163 Total Bases / 413 ABs) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are 90-16 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 45-26 (.634) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 91-40 (.695) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .214 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,632 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .642 (10,228 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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