- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: RTNW | CHSN
The Seattle Mariners (-150) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 27-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 25-24 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 2-1, 2.53 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 1-3, 2.02 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -105 | +125 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+17.60 Units / 293% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.15 Units / 127% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shane Smith has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 77% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 91% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 away games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games at home (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-22 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 5.41% ROI).
- 27-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.82 Units / -15.03% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 25-24 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -2.2% ROI).
- 15-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.36 Units / -21.1% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -12.29% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 3.63% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rowdy Tellez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Leody Taveras (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Rowdy Tellez (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 5.5 +145 | 5.5 -190 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Evans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (21/47) in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Logan Evans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (21/47) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 13% (6/47) against Logan Evans on the first pitch of at-bats in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 13% (6/47) against Logan Evans on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .101 (9-for-89) against Shane Smith with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .165 — 97th Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (15 Total Bases / 89 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .256 — 95th Percentile.
Shane Smith has a in-zone of 56% (416/737) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (56/176) against Shane Smith this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are 171-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 90-16 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 46-26 (.639) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .214 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (10,256 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (13,613 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 35% at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .262 (1,868 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,788 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 4% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
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