- The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Marlins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins () visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Marlins are 18-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 23-29 ATS.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-4, 3.48 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Blake Walston 0-0, 4.91 ERA
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | O | ||
| Diamondbacks | U |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+15.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+17.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 64% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 66% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 21-32 against the Run Line (-18.31 Units / -26.34% ROI).
- 18-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -26.62% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 8.69% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -16.84% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-29 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -13.06% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -6.37% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 3.62% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sixto Sanchez (MIA) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .098 (8-for-82) against Ryan Weathers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of just .349 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .681 — 97th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of just .349 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 114-30 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Marlins are just 63-16 (.797) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are 20-80 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Marlins are 42-19 (.689) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 89-22 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .208 (964 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have 564 extra-base hits out of 1,835 total hits (just 31%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.86 runs per game (170/29) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (108.0 IP) at home this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.69.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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