- The Royals are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Marlins / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-250) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Marlins are 27-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 44-35 ATS.
Marlins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-2, 5.77 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-5, 3.14 ERA
Marlins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | +200 |
| Royals | -1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | -250 |
Marlins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 24 away games (+18.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+16.90 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+10.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+19.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+8.44 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 33-44 against the Run Line (-25.46 Units / -24.14% ROI).
- 27-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.05 Units / -23.15% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 3.59% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -11.23% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-35 against the Run Line (+1.59 Units / 1.46% ROI).
- 42-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 6.84% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -13.03% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 4.08% ROI
Royals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .449 — second Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of 1.099 (39 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .777 — sixth Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .585 (31 Total Bases / 53 ABs) this month (3 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .423 — eighth Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (30 Total Bases / 36 ABs) at home this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .425 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (235/751) against Cole Ragans this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 91st Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .238 (143 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .483 (14 GB hits out of 29 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Marlins are just 23-16 (.590) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Marlins are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Marlins are just 15-9 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 8-9 (.471) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 14-54 (.206) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
The Royals are just 34-37 (.479) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .619.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have drawn 108 walks in 1,880 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .545 (883 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,432 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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