- The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: SNY | BSMW | MLBN
The New York Mets (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mets are 58-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-56 ATS.
Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 7-4, 3.54 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-5, 4.02 ERA
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+29.50 Units / 295% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+26.85 Units / 73% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+25.00 Units / 139% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 102 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+3.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 54-57 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -2.95% ROI).
- 58-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.34% ROI
- 57-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.3% ROI
- 48-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -11.71% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 56-56 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.86% ROI).
- 57-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 54-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 53-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -5.33% ROI
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 21 of 189 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 14 of 95 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (87/247) against Sean Manaea this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 46 of 470 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (170/223) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (170/223) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (511/760) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .310 (146-for-471) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 46-6 (.885) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mets are just 42-11 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Mets are just 11-14 (.440) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mets are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-120 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 56-61 (.479) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,177 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Mets are batting .266 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Mets are batting .256 on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .745 (8,346 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,281 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,841 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Cardinals hitters have 210 extra-base hits out of 670 total hits (just 31%) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting just .228 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 229 of 2,408 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 420 of 4,244 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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