- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW
The New York Mets (+110) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter, FL.
This season, the Mets are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 1-9 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mets | +110 |
| Cardinals | -130 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.9% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tim Locastro has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.95 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 34.17% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.84 Units / 13.38% ROI
- 0-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.66 Units / -79.74% ROI
- 8-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 71.68% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 1-9 against the Run Line (-9.69 Units / -78.72% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.96 Units / -26.68% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.67 Units / -50.99% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.97 Units / 45.6% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (27 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .410 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (32/160) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 7th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.
Sean Manaea elevated 48% of his pitches (188/391) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
74% of Sean Manaea’s fastball strikeouts were elevatedin the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
44% of Steven Matz’s called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Steven Matz allowed an OPS of .622 (274 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .526 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (71/374) against Steven Matz in the 2023 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Steven Matz’s lowest spin rate on changeups since last season is 1961.0 RPM — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1200.5
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are 151-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets are just 11-109 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 54-12 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters chased just 21% pitches when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 60% at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 42% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 455.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, Out
- Yacksel Rios (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
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