- The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | SNY | FDMX
The New York Mets (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mets are 21-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 15-17 ATS.
Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 3-1, 2.64 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 3-0, 3.60 ERA
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -120 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | +100 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-14 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 12.3% ROI).
- 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 12.28% ROI
- 11-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -31.59% ROI
- 20-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 22.22% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 15-17 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -15.48% ROI).
- 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -12.64% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 7.55% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -16.71% ROI
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .050 (3-for-60) against Clay Holmes with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .106 (35-for-329) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 (43-for-398) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray had a strikeout rate of 58% (203/350) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .164 (426 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 8-68 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 13-62 (.173) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 53-59 (.473) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are 83-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Cardinals are just 16-142 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets are batting .281 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Mets are batting just .261 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .808 (231 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .355 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Cardinals are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals are batting just .204 with two outs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mets have have still managed to win 67% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mets have have still managed to win 67% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets pitchers walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mets vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
