- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Cubs TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mets are 36-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 37-40 ATS.
Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 4-2, 3.51 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-2, 2.74 ERA
Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +160 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+2.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 35-40 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -7.75% ROI).
- 36-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.62% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -7.44% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 37-40 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -10.61% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 33-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -15.45% ROI
- 42-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 6.91% ROI
Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (16/122) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has walked 13 of 126 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Luis Severino has an ERA of 6.72 (85.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 54 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .406 (192 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .737 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (21-for-165) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (240/602) against Javier Assad this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .432 (223 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are just 23-10 (.697) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Mets are just 28-6 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Mets are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Mets are just 19-9 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 13-23 (.361) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Cubs are just 2-29 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Cubs are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Cubs are 29-26 (.527) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .276 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters are slugging .599 against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Mets have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Mets hitters are slugging .446 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .269 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Cubs are batting just .163 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are batting .293 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .803 (510 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 66 of 675 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 206 of 2,087 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 289 of 2,877 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 880 of 8,961 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 34 double plays in 560 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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