Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

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Los Angeles Dodgers' Max Muncy celebrates his solo home run off Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow during the second inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 27, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 21, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | WPIX | MLBN

The New York Mets (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-14 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 4.70 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 3-1, 3.73 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 +100O 9 +100+200
Dodgers -1.5 -120U 9 -120-250

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-8 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 26.11% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 18.37% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.75% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -14.38% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.94 Units / -26.28% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -22.85% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.32 Units / 20.84% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -28.01% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents had a groundball rate of 85% (11/13) against Adrian Houser — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (491/1,279) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (802/1,112) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (450/620) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (41-for-255) against Tyler Glasnow since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (38/103) against Tyler Glasnow this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 64% (16 SO in 25 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Mets are 163-2 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Mets are just 7-128 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 199-32 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 27-9 (.750) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Dodgers are 221-101 (.686) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .963 (166 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets hitters have drawn 24 walks in 178 PA’s (14%) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .824 (335 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 402 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .765 (4,113 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (9,627 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (13,477 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Mets pitchers have walked 89 of 780 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.