- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets (+105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) on Thursday, June 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Mets are 39-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 29-32 ATS.
Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 4-2, 2.69 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 3-2, 4.63 ERA
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -102 | +105 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -118 | -125 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+9.15 Units / 183% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+17.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+17.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+11.90 Units / 119% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+9.09 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+9.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-28 against the Run Line (+6.29 Units / 7.85% ROI).
- 39-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 7.55% ROI
- 22-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -20 Units / -29.26% ROI
- 38-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.5 Units / 19.82% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 29-32 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 11.71% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -18.94% ROI
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (40/65) against David Peterson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
10 of David Peterson’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (92/163) against David Peterson’s slider since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 36% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (81/147) against David Peterson this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
65% of Landon Knack’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% (61/196) against Landon Knack in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (97/300) against Landon Knack since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 116 of Landon Knack’s 525 off-speed pitches out of the zone (22%) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 44-34 (.564) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Mets are 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 194-37 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 98-51 (.658) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .220 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .163 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (10,788 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (8,661 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Dodgers have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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