- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Mets / Phillies TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets (+) visit London Stadium to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10am EDT in .
This season, the Mets are 27-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 37-27 ATS.
Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-5, 5.12 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-1, 5.84 ERA
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | + + | O + | + |
| Phillies | + + | U + | + |
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+16.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+12.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 51% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games (+20.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 48 games (+19.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 47 games (+18.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -12.64% ROI).
- 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -15.62% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -11.39% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 37-27 against the Run Line (+11.15 Units / 14.49% ROI).
- 45-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.4 Units / 15.32% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 4.33% ROI
Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brett Baty (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (500/849) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (401/813) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed a slugging percentage of .658 (25 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .347 — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 60% (624/1,044) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 149 of Taijuan Walker’s 752 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (17 GB hits out of 41 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 66 of Taijuan Walker’s 365 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (256/751) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Mets are just 13-9 (.591) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .845.
The Mets are just 5-95 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 3-14 (.176) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Phillies are 7-11 (.389) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Phillies are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Phillies are 39-5 (.886) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 22% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Mets are batting .273 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .776 (1,123 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,300 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .384 (271 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Phillies are batting .314 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .326 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters are slugging .506 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 62 of 569 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 202 of 1,981 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 3% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Phillies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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