- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | WPIX
The New York Mets (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Mets are 80-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 73-74 ATS.
Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-2, 2.99 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-9, 3.30 ERA
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- David Peterson has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 away games (+8.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games at home (+12.70 Units / 115% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 74-73 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 80-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -6.4% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 73-74 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.09% ROI).
- 89-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -6.66% ROI
- 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -2.7% ROI
Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 163 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (82/163) against David Peterson on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 37 of 329 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .372 (586 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (128/205) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (301/511) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (352/698) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (226/445) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 14-65 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are 129-29 (.816) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mets are 9-47 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are 7-55 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 77-12 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Phillies are 51-25 (.671) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .257 (3,089 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Mets are batting .255 on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,641 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .350 (1,750 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,368 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Phillies are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Phillies are batting .258 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Mets pitchers this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 544 of 5,589 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH this season (3,591 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 396 of 5,523 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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