- The Mets are -325 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Mets / Rockies TV Channel: SNY | ROTV | KTVD
The New York Mets (-300) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+240) on Friday, June 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Mets are 39-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 23-39 ATS.
Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 6-3, 1.61 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 1-10, 7.27 ERA
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 -140 | O 10.5 -102 | -300 |
| Rockies | +2.5 +115 | U 10.5 -118 | +240 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.80 Units / 320% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kodai Senga has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.09 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+17.02 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 53% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 35-28 against the Run Line (+7.29 Units / 8.9% ROI).
- 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 23-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -19 Units / -27.36% ROI
- 38-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.4 Units / 17.92% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 23-39 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -21.05% ROI).
- 12-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.3 Units / -45.17% ROI
- 24-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.25 Units / -22.49% ROI
- 36-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 13.84% ROI
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Thairo Estrada (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Freeman (COL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Brett Baty (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ronny Mauricio (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +110 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 15% of left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (12-for-102) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 58% (328/569) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .377 (98-for-260) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .409 (56-for-137) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .463 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of 1.312 (106 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .745 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are 16-11 (.593) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
The Mets are 56-38 (.596) after a loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 3-23 (.115) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Rockies are just 62-9 (.861) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rockies are just 113-15 (.876) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .165 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .759 (2,240 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .220 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .253 (1,204 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 21% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (277.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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