- The Mets are -285 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Mets / Rockies TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The New York Mets (-285) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+225) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Mets are 40-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 23-40 ATS.
Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 6-3, 3.08 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-4, 8.67 ERA
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 -125 | O 11 -115 | -285 |
| Rockies | +2.5 +105 | U 11 -105 | +225 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.80 Units / 236% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+10.90 Units / 272% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+13.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.09 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 63 games (+18.02 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.80 Units / 76% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-28 against the Run Line (+8.29 Units / 9.9% ROI).
- 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 7.28% ROI
- 23-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.15 Units / -28.54% ROI
- 39-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.4 Units / 19.07% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 23-40 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -22.16% ROI).
- 12-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.3 Units / -46.03% ROI
- 24-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -23.79% ROI
- 37-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 15.06% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .160 (4-for-25) against Clay Holmes on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 66% (109/165) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Palmquist has limited playing time.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are 22-7 (.759) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .554.
The Mets are 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 12-49 (.197) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rockies are just 113-15 (.876) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 99-23 (.805) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Mets hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .168 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Mets are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting just .195 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .278 (7,185 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .253 (1,204 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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