- The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Twins
- Mets vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | SNY | KMSP
The New York Mets (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Mets are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 0-0 ATS.
Mets vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 2-1, 0.60 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 7.11 ERA
Mets vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Mets vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 116 games (+22.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 117 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 127 games (+12.67 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 134 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 119 games (+8.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Twins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Twins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill allowed an OBP of .475 (120 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill had a strike rate of just 56% (249/446) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Tylor Megill allowed a slugging percentage of .646 (62 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — third Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 58% (413/713) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .152 (49-for-322) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (58/180) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 34% (161/469) against Bailey Ober in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (70 Total Bases / 135 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — sixth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 13-57 (.186) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Twins are just 2-5 (.286) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 16-33 (.327) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 1-79 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .093 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .137 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets are batting just .161 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Mets hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .177 (124 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
The Twins are batting just .121 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Twins hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 14 total hits (64%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .177 (79 PA’s) against LHP this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,234 of 12,769 batters (10%) since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.22 (142.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 45 of 626 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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