- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Mets vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | SNY
The New York Mets (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Mets are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 8-10 ATS.
Mets vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-1, 4.30 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -220 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Mets vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+16.70 Units / 209% ROI)
- Griffin Canning has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 111% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 176 games (+13.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 82 of their last 176 games (+1.62 Units / 1% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 176 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 84 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 85 of their last 162 games (+2.91 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 8-9 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -7.43% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 11.13% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -44.47% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 35.6% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-10 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -4.51% ROI).
- 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -38.51% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -14.61% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI
Twins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luisangel Acuna (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Twins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 13% (17/132) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .651 (377 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — third Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (705/1,192) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.0 innings he’s appeared — Paul Skenes has the longest active streak at 62.1.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 31 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from David Festa. — Chris Bassitt has the longest active streak at 35.
David Festa has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to September 15th, 2024 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 31 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from David Festa. — Hunter Greene has the longest active streak at 33.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were just 62-16 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Twins are just 16-33 (.327) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 1-10 (.091) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .098 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Mets hitters are slugging .545 against LHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Mets hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .125 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .186 (129 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .403 (129 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Twins hitters are slugging just .217 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (150.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.63 (96.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 70 double plays in 1,033 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
More MLB Reading:
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