Mets vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

min read
Chicago White Sox's Yoan Moncada watches his home run off San Diego Padres relief pitcher Robert Suarez during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 29, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mets are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Mets vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mets / White Sox TV Channel: SNY | NSCH

The New York Mets (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 72-64 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 56-81 ATS.

Mets vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 10-5, 3.54 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-9, 3.63 ERA

Mets vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 -105O 8 -115-175
White Sox +1.5 -115U 8 -105+145

Mets vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 away games (+34.00 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+19.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games (+24.90 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+16.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+14.10 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 88 games (+11.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 67-69 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -3.81% ROI).

  • 72-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.21% ROI
  • 67-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -1.84% ROI
  • 63-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -6.72% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 56-81 against the Run Line (-31.75 Units / -19.6% ROI).

  • 31-106 when betting on the Moneyline for -60.65 Units / -43.59% ROI
  • 59-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -11.51% ROI
  • 69-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 3.15% ROI

White Sox vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

White Sox vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Iglesias (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

White Sox vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Crochet (CWS) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
Sean Manaea (NYM) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145

Sean Manaea has walked 25 of 234 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (752/1,655) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 8% (1/13) against Sean Manaea in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .254 (35 Total Bases / 138 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 91st Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (180 SO in 526 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 35% (28 SO in 80 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (44 SO in 111 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (87 SO in 231 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mets are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 14-64 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mets are just 53-13 (.803) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The White Sox are just 21-84 (.200) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The White Sox are just 12-40 (.231) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The White Sox are just 70-35 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The White Sox are just 17-53 (.243) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,294 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Mets hitters are slugging .628 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .765 (1,369 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .347 (2,076 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,409 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 20% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (13,189 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Mets pitchers have walked 247 of 2,627 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mets pitchers have walked 510 of 5,170 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 1,101 of 11,254 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 1% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 537 of 5,290 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Mets – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.