- The Mets are +105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mets vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Yankees TV Channel: YES | SNY
The New York Mets (+105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-125) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Mets are 28-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 22-22 ATS.
Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 5-1, 2.38 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 1-1, 4.73 ERA
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | O 10 -110 | +105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -210 | U 10 -110 | -125 |
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+29.40 Units / 490% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Griffin Canning has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Griffin Canning has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.35 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+0.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+0.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
Yankees Best Bets Today:
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-22 against the Run Line (+3.04 Units / 5.47% ROI).
- 28-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 5.43% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -27.92% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 18.62% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 22-22 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 5.11% ROI).
- 26-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.2% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -8.2% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.03 Units / -0.06% ROI
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .518 (169 Total Bases / 326 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (803/1,359) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .903 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 384.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 398.4
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (43/243) against Clarke Schmidt in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2978.9 RPM on sliders since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 2435.7 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are 20-8 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 10-5 (.667) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Yankees (third best runs scored) today.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 49-28 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Mets (15th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 62-41 (.602) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Mets hitters have chased 18% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .429 (210 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .882 (454 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mets vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
