- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Mets are 29-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 22-23 ATS.
Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 2-2, 3.05 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-0, 1.11 ERA
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +118 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.65 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+11.80 Units / 197% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.89 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+6.84 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.02 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.36 Units / 11% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-22 against the Run Line (+4.04 Units / 7.06% ROI).
- 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 7.02% ROI
- 16-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -29.56% ROI
- 28-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 20.22% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 22-23 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 2.96% ROI).
- 26-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.97 Units / 1.95% ROI
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
9 of David Peterson’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (34/48) against David Peterson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
9 of David Peterson’s 28 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 94th Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.4 MPH on the 216 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .264 against Max Fried non-fastballs this season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile. Opponents batted just .177 (52-for-294) against him non-fastballs last season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .188 (15-for-80) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-74 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets are 39-29 (.574) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Yankees (third best runs scored) today.
The Mets are 21-8 (.724) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Yankees are 49-29 (.628) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Mets (15th best runs allowed) today.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Mets went UNDER in 100% of their games (90.5% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .178 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .431 (216 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .882 (454 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters drew 672 walks in 6,245 PA’s (11%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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