- Nationals / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-210) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter, FL.
This season, the Nationals are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 1-10 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +165 |
| Cardinals | -210 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jeter Downs has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 81 away games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 6-6 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.58 Units / 34% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.76 Units / 20.89% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.81 Units / -28.63% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 1-10 against the Run Line (-10.69 Units / -80.32% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.26 Units / -32.59% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.67 Units / -38.37% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.82 Units / 31.7% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .293 (210-for-717) against Patrick Corbin in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strikeout rate of just 16% (124/790) in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strike rate of just 57% (438/762) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strikeout rate of just 14% (26/189) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 21-36 (.368) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 39-64 (.379) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 63-43 (.594) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Nationals are just 37-72 (.339) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 54-12 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals batted just .293 in hitter’s counts in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 42% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents batted .273 against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Lower Leg, Out
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, Out
- Joey Meneses (Washington Nationals): Knee, Out
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dominic Smith (Washington Nationals): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
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