- The Diamondbacks are -235 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+195) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-235) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Nationals are 28-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 25-33 ATS.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 4-4, 4.63 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 3-2, 2.73 ERA
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | +195 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | -235 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+21.90 Units / 365% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+15.25 Units / 152% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 111% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 96% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 32-26 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI).
- 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.43 Units / 8.95% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.55% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -7.65% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 25-33 against the Run Line (-13.21 Units / -17.68% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.33% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tim Tawa (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Mitchell Parker’s 22 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 31% (40 SO in 130 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 11% (11 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 64 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 68% of the time (158/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
33% of Corbin Burnes’ strikeouts are on pitches in the zone since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (213/330) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 84-104 (.444) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 39-56 (.406) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Nationals are just 160-185 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are just 20-7 (.741) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Diamondbacks are just 25-2 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .346 (4,260 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .337 (6,284 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Nationals have allowed 2.02 runs per game (117/58) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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