- The Mets are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY
The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Nationals are 30-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 38-28 ATS.
Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 3-5, 2.91 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 6-2, 2.90 ERA
Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -102 | +125 |
| Mets | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -118 | -150 |
Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+20.90 Units / 299% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.80 Units / 108% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.80 Units / 198% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.49 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+10.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.02 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+13.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+13.09 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 34-31 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -4.21% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.63 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 38-28 against the Run Line (+10.29 Units / 11.78% ROI).
- 42-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 8.77% ROI
- 24-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -27.83% ROI
- 40-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.4 Units / 18.53% ROI
Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 5.5 +140 | 5.5 -185 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 38% (44 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 38% (44 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (185/645) against MacKenzie Gore since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 35% (108 SO in 305 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .830 (396 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .659 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (873/1,468) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 34% (130/377) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are 22-0 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Nationals are just 162-190 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals were just 27-44 (.380) after a win in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Nationals (24th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mets are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .285 (819 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .168 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .819 (803 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
