- The Mets are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Nationals are 68-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-74 ATS.
Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-9, 4.25 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 3-5, 4.50 ERA
Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 +100 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -120 | -175 |
Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
- Andres Chaparro has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+18.50 Units / 168% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 142 games (+11.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 91 games (+18.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 92 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+12.78 Units / 142% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 84-66 against the Run Line (+7.88 Units / 4% ROI).
- 68-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 2.18% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.82 Units / -2.29% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 76-74 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.31% ROI).
- 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 73-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 70-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -5.67% ROI
Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 73% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (43/59) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 59% — 100th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 70% (446/640) in two strike counts this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (43/295) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .396 (173-for-437) against Tylor Megill in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .401 (197 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .321 — third Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .425 (167 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .324 — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has walked 23 of 167 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Nationals are just 73-120 (.378) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Nationals are just 59-231 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are 7-55 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Mets are just 14-65 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are 89-37 (.706) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Mets are 10-47 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .948 (2,148 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,576 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .310 (2,352 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Nationals hitters have just 668 strikeouts in 3,502 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,681 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,124 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mets have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mets hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 256 of 2,753 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
