- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Nationals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Nationals are 20-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 14-30 ATS.
Nationals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-2, 6.44 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-1, 3.23 ERA
Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -118 | +150 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -102 | -185 |
Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.75 Units / 125% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.60 Units / 136% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.18 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.44 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.03 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 23-24 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -8.06% ROI).
- 20-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.52 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -2.49% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-30 against the Run Line (-18.46 Units / -33.35% ROI).
- 15-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.7 Units / -38.21% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.73 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.02 Units / -2.09% ROI
Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of 42% (34 SO in 81 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 12% of batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 13% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 16% of left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin walked 4% of batters in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin had a strike rate of 70% (857/1,226) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are just 154-182 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 27-50 (.351) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 52-87 (.374) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are just 4-25 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Orioles are just 2-13 (.133) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Orioles are just 8-14 (.364) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
The Orioles are just 5-10 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .538 (463 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .268 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Orioles hitters are slugging .755 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .567.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .376 against Nationals pitchers this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .318 against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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