- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: MAS2 | NSPA
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 15-13 ATS.
Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-3, 3.38 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 2-1, 3.62 ERA
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -118 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -102 | -190 |
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dylan Crews has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+9.80 Units / 163% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 14-15 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -7.26% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -4.21% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-13 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -2.19% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -4.32% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -11.07% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 44% (24 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 44% (24 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 37% (53 SO in 142 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 37% (53 SO in 142 PAs) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .212 (434 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .201 (368 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .480 (435 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .658 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are 2-15 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 37-57 (.394) on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Nationals are just 148-172 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 3-9 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Phillies are 12-130 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .247 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Games involving the Phillies have gone OVER in 83% of their games (71.8% ROI) when underdogs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .324 (9,345 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,244 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have allowed 2.31 runs per game (67/29) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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