- The Pirates are -220 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNPT
The Washington Nationals (+180) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-220) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 5-11 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Brad Lord 0-0, 1.69 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 1-1, 3.44 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 7 -102 | +180 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +100 | U 7 -118 | -220 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.60 Units / 277% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 away games (+6.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 163 games (+2.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 66 of their last 163 games (+0.45 Units / 0% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 91 of their last 163 games (+7.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 82 games at home (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 82 games at home (+2.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.61% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 27.25% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -35.28% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 5-11 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -38.5% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -37.36% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.59% ROI
Pirates vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Endy Rodriguez (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Endy Rodriguez (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Pirates vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Brad Lord (WAS) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -185 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Lord has limited playing time.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
60% of Paul Skenes’ strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .288 (156 Total Bases / 542 ABs) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 99th Percentile.
Paul Skenes had a strikeout rate of 33% (170/514) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .029.
The Nationals are just 31-46 (.403) after a win since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Nationals are 6-1 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates are just 11-34 (.244) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have 52 strikeouts in 162 PA’s (32%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .951 (2,322 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .297 (1,697 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .224 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Pirates are batting just .184 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Pirates are batting just .082 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .290 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 452.8 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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