- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Astros
- Orioles vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Astros TV Channel: MASN | SCHN
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+130) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 49-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 34-42 ATS.
Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 8-2, 2.14 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 7-2, 2.45 ERA
Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -115 | -155 |
| Astros | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +130 |
Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 27 games (+30.80 Units / 114% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+18.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+18.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games at home (+12.50 Units / 66% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 66 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 away games (+11.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-30 against the Run Line (+22.3 Units / 25.41% ROI).
- 49-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 13.01% ROI
- 38-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 12.09% ROI
- 26-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -19.56% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 34-42 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -8.13% ROI).
- 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.7 Units / -15.52% ROI
- 27-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.05 Units / -27.79% ROI
- 46-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.2 Units / 19.21% ROI
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 74% of the time (80/108) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (77/108) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (244/370) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (395/606) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (22-for-138) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (22-for-132) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (38/92) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (44-for-270) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 5-19 (.208) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are 9-7 (.562) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are 129-100 (.563) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 164-24 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .460 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .826 (899 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters are slugging .463 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters are slugging .580 against RHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 782 strikeouts in 4,493 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 461 strikeouts in 2,643 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,104/15,177 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 49% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 389.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.8
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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