- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Astros TV Channel: MASN | SCHN
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 49-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 35-42 ATS.
Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 3-1, 2.05 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 5-5, 3.93 ERA
Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 67 games (+21.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+18.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-31 against the Run Line (+21.3 Units / 24% ROI).
- 49-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 11.49% ROI
- 38-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units / 10.59% ROI
- 27-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -18.09% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 35-42 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -14.23% ROI
- 27-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.15 Units / -28.73% ROI
- 47-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.2 Units / 20.13% ROI
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.2 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 58.0.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to May 25th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Albert Suarez has an ERA of 2.05 (48.1 IP)this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 98th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 69% of the time (314/453) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .293 (174 Total Bases / 594 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (804/1,307) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (874/1,871) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (53/175) against Framber Valdez on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 56-42 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 74-19 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are just 9-36 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Astros are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .461 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .465 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .772 (2,119 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 782 strikeouts in 4,493 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Astros hitters have just 461 strikeouts in 2,643 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 134 strikeouts in 842 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 44 of 687 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 49% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 46% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (2139.0 IP) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have allowed 3.75 runs per game (746/199) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 389.4 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.9
Astros vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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