- The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MASN | RSN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 39-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-34 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 2-5, 3.69 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8 +100 | -105 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -115 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+12.55 Units / 105% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 107% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+7.65 Units / 153% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+2.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 34-26 against the Run Line (+13.4 Units / 19.24% ROI).
- 39-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 10.26% ROI
- 30-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 9.43% ROI
- 22-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -17.11% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-34 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -15.85% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -10.63% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -14.12% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 4.39% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .743 (26 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (20-for-54) against Yusei Kikuchi with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .312 (30-for-96) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Orioles are 52-53 (.495) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are just 11-77 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are 24-12 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .444 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Orioles hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .476 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,661 strikeouts in 8,684 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .431 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .550.
Blue Jays hitters have just 859 strikeouts in 4,599 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .742 (11,499 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 236 of 3,440 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers this season is 390.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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