- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
- Orioles vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Brewers TV Channel: MASN | FDWI
The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Orioles are 15-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 23-24 ATS.
Orioles vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-5, 5.41 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 1-2, 4.55 ERA
Orioles vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -118 | +100 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -102 | -120 |
Orioles vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.50 Units / 312% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.68 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.79 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.83 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 43 games (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-31 against the Run Line (-19.46 Units / -34.53% ROI).
- 15-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.5 Units / -40.19% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.73 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.17 Units / -4.34% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 23-24 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 22-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 16-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -28.68% ROI
- 28-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 20.37% ROI
Brewers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .355 (27-for-76) against Dean Kremer versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has struck out just 16% (19/120) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (70/392) against Dean Kremer this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 33% (34 SO in 104 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Quinn Priester has a strike rate of just 58% (82/141) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (5/15) against Quinn Priester on low fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 98th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has a strike rate of just 59% (346/587) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Quinn Priester when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are just 2-13 (.133) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Orioles are just 4-26 (.133) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Orioles are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers are 52-5 (.912) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 3-145 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .538 (465 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .756 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .566.
The Orioles are batting just .193 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .184 this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .536 (554 PA’s) this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .483 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Orioles pitchers have picked-off 6 runners from first base this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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